Flat staking vs percentage, what held up over 200 bets

[deck_mcgraw]

I have gone back and forth on this for two seasons and I want to hear real results, not theory. Flat staking means I bet the same $10 every game no matter what. Percentage means I bet 3 percent of whatever my bankroll is that day.

Last year I ran flat $10 units on about 120 NBA bets and ended up roughly even. This year I switched to 3 percent and the swings feel bigger both up and down.

For those of you who have actually run both over a full season, which one left you with more bankroll at the end, and why?

[payout_pete_pa]

I ran flat for one season and percentage the next, both tracked in a spreadsheet. Flat $5 units left me down about 4 percent over 200 bets. Percentage at 3 percent left me down about 11 percent over a similar count.

The percentage method punished me on losing streaks because each loss shrank the next bet, so I never fully recovered inside a slump. Flat staking was boring but steadier.

For anyone not beating the closing line consistently, flat is the safer pick. Percentage only helps if you have a real edge to compound.

[limit_lottie]

Flat for me, no contest. Percentage sounds smart but it makes you bet more when you are winning, which is exactly when overconfidence creeps in.

With flat staking my unit only changes when I deliberately recalculate, usually once a month. That removes the in the moment decisions that wreck bankrolls.

Whatever you pick, set a deposit limit on the app so neither method can quietly turn into a chase after a bad week.